When the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was established in the 1990s, negotiators focused on greenhouse gas emissions, or GHGs. They discussed mitigation actions; ways to reduce GHGs. The landmark Kyoto Protocol of 1997 (at COP 3) emphasized mitigation, with commitments from developed countries to reduce their production of and reliance on fossil fuels. The 2015 Paris Agreement set the goal of a global temperature rise of no more than 1.5 degrees centigrade by 2050. This goal would be achieved only if developed countries - the major GHG emitters - transitioned significantly to renewable energy sources. This has not happened. Countries are expanding their use of renewables but not fast enough th meet the 1.5 degree goal. Consequently, negotiators now devote considerable time to discussing adaptation - how to deal with a warming world and its consequencxes, such as wildfires, drought, intense hurricanes and typhoons... These articles relate to the imp...
Predicting the future in any way can be difficult. Especially, when climate change is involved. As we have seen, climate change has progressively gotten worse so this makes us believe it will only worsen if action isn't taken properly. https://www.ibm.com/blog/climate-change-future/ This website is explaining how predicting climate change is possible based of data predictions and how it has been affecting the world in the past. I really like the article you attached because I feel it gives good insight into how climate change is drastically affecting our world today. I enjoyed the specifics, such as data and analysis. Both of these articles relate to the idea that climate change is going to be at an all-time high if we aren't reducing pollution.It will only get worse, and we don't want that issue for our future world.
ReplyDeleteI think that it is both cool and terrifying that we can predict the future of climate change. On the one hand it is fascinating that we have the ability to predict possible outcomes if conditions stay the same or worsen. On the other hand though it is terrifying to see how rapidly our climate is changing, because of our actions. I think there is a lot we don't know, and as we develop technologically we will understand our changing climate even better. Hopefully find new ways to reverse the damage. https://www.ibm.com/blog/climate-change-future/
ReplyDeleteThe Guardian survey of climate experts paints a grim picture of our future, with global temperatures likely to surpass the 1.5C limit, leading to severe heatwaves, floods, and storms. Only 6% of respondents believe this target is achievable without radical action. However, the experts emphasize that every effort to reduce emissions is crucial, as each ton of CO2 avoided mitigates suffering. The impacts of global heating worsen incrementally, with dire consequences predicted as temperatures rise. Despite the daunting challenge, the consensus is clear: giving up is not an option, and proactive measures are essential to limit the damage.
ReplyDeletePredicting the future is a very challenging approach. However, when we gather data and statistics and look at trend lines, we can get a general idea of what the future will look like. On the subject of climate change for example, if we keep burning fossil fuels, then we know that the world will soon be uninhabitable for future generations. The current statistics predict what the world will look like in the future and that should talk to us and tell us that "yeah"... we need to do something to preserve the quality of Earth for future generations. That is why im in Forestry
ReplyDeleteDespite being somewhat able to predict the future of our world if we don't do anything to combat climate change, this information doesn't seem to spur the public (and especially politicians) into action. It's easy to put on the back-burner if 'the near future' seems far away, because other aspects of the life are more pressing in the perceived short-term. That's why I think the Climate Clock in NYC is a great representation that the future when climate change is irreversible is actually closer than we thought. The bright red clock looming overhead is a good depiction of how a 3c world is looming in just 5 years 49 days at the time of writing this.
ReplyDeleteWith the uncertainty, how can we take steps to make sure that we are prepared for whatever may come in the future?
ReplyDeletePredicting the future is something that can, and will be, of the utmost importance. It will help us stay informed on the consequences of climate change, including which areas are more likely to suffer the most in different ways. I do wonder, how we can prepare for what seems to be a very probable outcome in a not-so-distant future?
ReplyDeleteThese predictions that the article shows give a harsh reality check as to what our future could look like. While scientists note that every action counts, I am questioning how we can balance short-term actions with long-term policy changes to create a more sustainable future. With these horrifying predictions that the article showed, I personally find it almost crazy that we are not doing more and enforcing stricter regulations to try to slow down these irreversible changes.
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